Reports earlier this week that
Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer predicted unprecedented sales of Windows 8 were
wrong on multiple counts, Microsoft and independent analysts agreed. But while
Microsoft said Ballmer was misquoted or misunderstood, the analysts argued that
even if the CEO's number of 500 million had been accurate, it meant little
about the upgrade's success. The kerfuffle started when the Agence
France-Presse (AFP) wire service, reporting from a South Korean technology
event, said Ballmer claimed up to 500 million users would "have"
Windows 8 "next year." A slew of blogs and news websites piled on,
most of them questioning Ballmer's number, or even his sanity. It wasn't hard
to see why: Windows 7, which Microsoft has repeatedly said has been the
fastest-selling operating system in its 37-year history, sold roughly 525
million licenses between its 2009 launch and the end of 2011. During the 12
months of last year, Microsoft claimed it sold some 225 Windows 7 licenses. Since
most interpreted the AFP's "next year" as meaning through the end of
2013 -- and because that would give Microsoft just 14-15 months for Windows 8
to make the half-billion milestone -- a lot of people were skeptical.
Very skeptical.
All for naught, as it turned out: Late Tuesday Microsoft said the
AFP piece was the result of crossed wires. "The numbers Steve Ballmer gave
at the Seoul event are a restatement of what we said at the Windows 8 Store
event in December, when we were talking about existing Windows users and
analyst projections of PC sales for 2012 that could be upgraded to Windows 8
when the time comes," said a Microsoft spokeswoman in a email reply
Tuesday night to a request for comment and clarification. In effect, said Microsoft,
AFP miscast a Ballmer line as a Windows 8 sales projection when in reality it
was nothing of the kind. The December 2011 event the company spokeswoman
referred to was where Microsoft promised to ship the Windows 8 beta in two months and beat the marketing
drum for Windows Store, the e-market that will be the only distribution source
for Metro-style apps. In a blog published
that same day, Ted Dworkin, director of the Windows Store development team,
said, "We've just passed the 500 million licenses sold mark for Windows 7,
which represents half a billion PCs that could be upgraded to Windows 8 on the
day it ships. That represents the single biggest platform opportunity available
to developers."
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